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Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Alexandrova analysis and find out who is favored!
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Sabalenka 3 - 3 Alexandrova
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 50.32% of points on their second serve, while Alexandrova has won 41.27%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 56.08% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alexandrova has won 50.67%. The same stats for first serve returns are 38.02% and 34.73% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 59.36% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alexandrova has saved 58.2% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 76.92% of matches played (W/L 50/ 15), with Alexandrova winning 53.57% (W/L 30/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/ 47). Alexandrova has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 114/ 51), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 103/ 81).
- Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 22/ 10), where as Alexandrova has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 58.06% of matches (W/L 18/ 13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Sabalenka winning 3 times and Alexandrova being victorious 3 times. They have played 12 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 6 and Alexandrova winning 6. The last match between Sabalenka and Alexandrova was at the Wimbledon - London, 10-07-2023, Fourth, Grass with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-4 6-0.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:13:13.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Alexandrova have played a deciding set 0 times, with Sabalenka winning 0 times and Alexandrova 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 0, and Alexandrova 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 75.58 while Alexandrova has played against players with an average rank of 107.66.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 52% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alexandrova has won 60% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 47.85% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alexandrova has converted 43.15% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
3
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
3
Total3
1
Hard1
0
Clay0
1
Indoor1
1
Grass1
20
Rank
15
High
29
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
Form
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
69% (398-183)
Career Total W/L
63% (442-262)
79% (30-8)
YTD W/L
52% (17-16)
$20,189,224
Career Prize Money
$4,611,458
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
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Sabalenka VS Alexandrova H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Ekaterina Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Sets Won | 6 | 6 |
| Games Won | 55 | 55 |
| Aces (Total) | 23 | 25 |
| DFs Total | 14 | 27 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:13:13 | 1:13:13 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% (199/334) | 62% (214/347) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 67% (133/199) | 72% (154/214) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 47% (64/135) | 43% (57/133) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 38% (15/39) | 57% (16/28) |
| Return Points W% | 39% (136/347) | 41% (137/334) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 50% (3/6) | 50% (3/6) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (3/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (3/0) | 0% (3/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (3/0) | 0% (3/0) |
Sabalenka VS Alexandrova H2h Matches played
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 6-0 |
Stats 
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
55%
(
29 of
53)
7
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
24 of
31)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
17 of
29)
60%
(
9 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
28%
(
13 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
26 of
53)
59
Total Points Won
40
|
||||
| 7-5 6-0 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve %
60%
(
33 of
55)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
29 of
39)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
20 of
33)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
23%
(
5 of
22)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
21 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
30 of
55)
71
Total Points Won
46
|
||||
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve %
55%
(
32 of
58)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
3
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
20 of
32)
44%
(
8 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
58)
61
Total Points Won
46
|
||||
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
60%
(
40 of
67)
1st Serve %
58%
(
40 of
69)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
11
65%
(
26 of
40)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
26 of
40)
52%
(
14 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
11 of
29)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
40%
(
27 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
32 of
69)
72
Total Points Won
64
|
||||
| 6-3 6-3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
55%
(
29 of
53)
1st Serve %
60%
(
38 of
63)
5
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
7
62%
(
18 of
29)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
23 of
38)
63%
(
15 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
8 of
25)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
38%
(
20 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
32 of
63)
65
Total Points Won
51
|
||||
| 6-2 7-5 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
73%
(
37 of
51)
1st Serve %
62%
(
34 of
55)
8
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
89%
(
33 of
37)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
25 of
34)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
10 of
21)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
20%
(
10 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
20 of
55)
61
Total Points Won
45
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Ekaterina Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 79% (30/8) | 52% (17/16) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 73% (65/24) | 51% (38/37) |
| Games Win/Loss | 59% (484/339) | 49% (358/370) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 78% (14/4) | 56% (9/7) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 79% (15/4) | 14% (1/6) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 75% (3/1) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 100% (1/0) | 67% (4/2) |
| Aces pg | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| Aces Total | 168 | 158 |
| DFs per game | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| DFs Total | 108 | 172 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:39:53 | 1:41:33 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 89.55 | 124.67 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (1639/2587) | 59% (1399/2361) |
| 1st Serve W% | 71% (1156/1639) | 70% (979/1399) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 50% (477/948) | 41% (397/962) |
| BPs Won% Total | 48% (156/326) | 43% (104/241) |
| Return Pts W% | 45% (1202/2665) | 41% (974/2395) |
| Slam W/L | 92% (11/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Masters W/L | 72% (13/5) | 50% (6/6) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 75% (6/2) | 58% (11/8) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 78% (29/37) | 52% (17/33) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 70% (7/10) | 54% (7/13) |
| Deciding Set W% | 54% (7/13) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st set W, W | 86% (28/24) | 88% (16/14) |
| 1st set W, L | 11% (28/3) | 13% (16/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 50% (10/5) | 18% (17/3) |
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
54%
(
26 of
48)
1st Serve %
61%
(
28 of
46)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
73%
(
19 of
26)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
29%
(
14 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
22 of
46)
56
Total Points Won
38
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Mirra Andreeva
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
49%
(
46 of
93)
1st Serve %
53%
(
57 of
107)
4
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
6
57%
(
26 of
46)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
30 of
57)
49%
(
23 of
47)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
24 of
50)
57%
(
8 of
14)
Break Points Won
100%
(
6 of
6)
47%
(
44 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
53 of
107)
102
Total Points Won
98
|
6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Navarro
60%
(
26 of
43)
1st Serve %
73%
(
45 of
62)
7
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
85%
(
22 of
26)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
28 of
45)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
31 of
62)
64
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
69%
(
35 of
51)
1st Serve %
60%
(
40 of
67)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
63%
(
22 of
35)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
20 of
40)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
10 of
27)
39%
(
7 of
18)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
41%
(
21 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
37 of
67)
67
Total Points Won
51
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Moyuka Uchijima
62%
(
29 of
47)
1st Serve %
74%
(
39 of
53)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
76%
(
22 of
29)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
72%
(
13 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
27 of
53)
62
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Erika Andreeva
64%
(
32 of
50)
1st Serve %
59%
(
23 of
39)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
8 of
16)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
34%
(
17 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
56
Total Points Won
33
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54%
(
31 of
57)
1st Serve %
59%
(
32 of
54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74%
(
23 of
31)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
18 of
32)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
32%
(
18 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
27 of
54)
66
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
60%
(
35 of
58)
1st Serve %
53%
(
33 of
62)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
22 of
33)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
33%
(
19 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
28 of
62)
67
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elina Svitolina
72%
(
85 of
118)
1st Serve %
52%
(
44 of
85)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
58%
(
49 of
85)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
15 of
41)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
45%
(
53 of
118)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
41 of
85)
106
Total Points Won
97
|
4-6 6-1 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
view more
Ekaterina Alexandrova Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Cori Gauff
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
65%
(
35 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
41 of
60)
7
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
4
80%
(
28 of
35)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
28 of
41)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
26%
(
14 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
26 of
60)
66
Total Points Won
48
|
7-6(6) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
72%
(
50 of
69)
6
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
88%
(
28 of
32)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
33 of
50)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
24%
(
12 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
29 of
69)
66
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
51%
(
53 of
103)
1st Serve %
70%
(
67 of
96)
10
Aces
4
11
Double Faults
6
64%
(
34 of
53)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
38 of
67)
48%
(
24 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
44%
(
8 of
18)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
44%
(
45 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
50 of
96)
108
Total Points Won
91
|
6-3 6-7(1) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Robin Montgomery
55%
(
36 of
65)
1st Serve %
61%
(
42 of
69)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
6
67%
(
24 of
36)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
25 of
42)
59%
(
17 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
37%
(
24 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
32 of
69)
73
Total Points Won
61
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Emina Bektas
67%
(
43 of
64)
1st Serve %
72%
(
49 of
68)
12
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
77%
(
33 of
43)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
35 of
49)
52%
(
11 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
31%
(
20 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
27 of
68)
71
Total Points Won
61
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Arina Rodionova
61%
(
36 of
59)
1st Serve %
68%
(
44 of
65)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
72%
(
26 of
36)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
8 of
21)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
34%
(
20 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
28 of
65)
67
Total Points Won
57
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Viktoriya Tomova
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
72%
(
47 of
65)
1st Serve %
47%
(
34 of
73)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
62%
(
29 of
47)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
18 of
39)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
38%
(
25 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
76
Total Points Won
62
|
6-3 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Magda Linette
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
55%
(
76 of
137)
1st Serve %
54%
(
56 of
103)
10
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
7
63%
(
48 of
76)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
38 of
56)
49%
(
30 of
61)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
18 of
47)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
20%
(
3 of
15)
43%
(
59 of
137)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
47 of
103)
125
Total Points Won
115
|
6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Cristina Bucsa
38%
(
25 of
65)
1st Serve %
62%
(
40 of
65)
5
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
5
72%
(
18 of
25)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
24 of
40)
53%
(
21 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
6 of
25)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
40%
(
26 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
35 of
65)
74
Total Points Won
56
|
6-0 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
61%
(
23 of
38)
1st Serve %
43%
(
19 of
44)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
10
87%
(
20 of
23)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
10 of
19)
67%
(
10 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
6 of
25)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
21%
(
8 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
64%
(
28 of
44)
58
Total Points Won
24
|
6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
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Sabalenka Vs Alexandrova Prediction H2H Images To Share
More tennis photos of Sabalenka are available here and Alexandrova photos here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aryna Sabalenka
Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
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